marine weather discussion NWS ocean prediction center Washington DC 1245 PM EST Sat 21 Nov 2009

.Forecast discussion: major features/winds/seas/significant .Weather for North Atlantic ocean W of 50w from 30n to 50n.

Low pres currently E of the nt2 waters will move slowly NE today and tonight. N to NE winds up to 25 kt will continue across portions of the srn and central nt2 waters into tonight. Strong high pres will then build N of the nt1 waters sun. Weak low pres is still expected to form across the srn nt2 waters Sun night...then track NE across the offshore waters through Wed. The latest runs of the NAM and GFS are in reasonable agreement and continue the idea of the last couple of model runs in having somewhat weaker winds across the offshore waters. The Canadian...meanwhile...continues to be a strong outlier. For now will continue with previous forecast of showing Max winds of 30 kt with this system as it moves NE. A cold front will then move into the offshore waters by Thu.

The wavewatch model looks reasonable and will be followed fairly closely during the forecast period. The E swell which wavewatch iii brings into nern nt2 waters as well as Georges Bank sun ngt/Mon appears reasonable as global models all indicating decent E to NE fetch N of W Atlc cold front.

.Warnings/forecast confidence...Warnings are preliminary and are subject to change. Any changes will be coordinated through AWIPS 12 planet chat or by telephone.

.Nt1 New England waters... .Gulf of Maine...none. .Georges Bank...None. .S of New England...None.

.Nt2 mid Atlc waters... .Hudson to balt cnyn...none. .Balt cnyn to Hague line...None. .Balt cnyn to Hatteras cnyn...None. .Hatteras cnyn to Cape Fear...None. .Cape Fear to 31n...None.

.Forecaster nolt. Ocean forecast branch.

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